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Results and data | Sept. 18, 2008

Illinois

Margin of error: +/- 4%

Results for select poll questions:

Question 4

How much of the time do you think you can trust the federal government in Washington to do what is right? Just about always, most of the time, only some of the time, or never?

N=628 100%
Just about always 13 2.1%
Most of the Time 123 19.6%
Only Some of the Time 394 62.8%
Never 80 12.7%
Don’t know/refused 17 2.7%

Question 5

Thinking about things in the United States, do you think things in the country are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

N=628 100%
Right direction 89 14.2%
Wrong track 505 80.4%
Don’t know/refused 34 5.3%

Question 6

Thinking about things in Illinois, do you think things in Illinois are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

N=628 100%
Right direction 100 15.9%
Wrong track 484 77.1%
Don’t know/refused 44 7.1%

Question 7

Would you say that over the past year the nation’s economy has gotten better, stayed about the same or gotten worse?

N=628 100%
Gotten better 17 2.7%
Stayed about the same 65 10.4%
Gotten worse 544 86.6%
Don’t know/refused 2 .3%

The questions about favorability for Obama, McCain, Biden, Palin, and Bush were rotated — that is, they were asked in a random order to each individual respondent.

Question 9

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

N=628 100%
Very favorable 273 43.6%
Somewhat favorable 141 22.4%
Very unfavorable 120 19.1%
Somewhat unfavorable 64 10.2%
Don’t know/refused 30 4.8%

Question 10

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of George W. Bush?

N=628 100%
Very favorable 44 7.0%
Somewhat favorable 143 22.8%
Very unfavorable 336 53.5%
Somewhat unfavorable 88 14.0%
Don’t know/refused 17 2.8%

Question 11

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain?

N=628 100%
Very favorable 134 21.4%
Somewhat favorable 195 31.1%
Very unfavorable 163 26.0%
Somewhat unfavorable 106 16.8%
Don’t know/refused 29 4.6%

Question 12

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?

N=628 100%
Very favorable 146 23.2%
Somewhat favorable 208 33.2%
Very unfavorable 72 11.5%
Somewhat unfavorable 83 13.2%
Don’t know/refused 118 18.8%

Question 13

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

N=628 100%
Very favorable 137 21.9%
Somewhat favorable 130 20.7%
Very unfavorable 155 24.7%
Somewhat unfavorable 106 16.8%
Don’t know/refused 99 15.9%

Question 14

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton?

N=628 100%
Very favorable 171 27.3%
Somewhat favorable 217 34.7%
Very unfavorable 116 18.4%
Somewhat unfavorable 95 15.1%
Don’t know/refused 28 4.5%

Question 15

If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, and John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans, for whom would you vote?

N=628 100%
Obama/Biden 306 48.7%
McCain/Palin 214 34.1%
Other 13 2.1%
Undecided 59 9.4%
Refused 36 5.7%

Question 15a

If undecided, which way do you lean?

N=95 100%
Obama/Biden 27 28.0%
McCain/Palin 18 19.3%
Undecided 35 37.3%
Refused 15 15.5%

Cumulative results from question 15 and 15a

Decided voters and undecided voters who are leaning one way or another.

N=628 100%
Obama/Biden 332 52.9%
McCain/Palin 232 37.0%
Other 13 2.1%
Undecided 35 5.6%
Refused 15 2.3%

Questions 16-18: I’m going to read you a list of words and phrases that people sometimes use to describe political leaders. Please tell me who the following words and phrases describe better: Barack Obama or John McCain?

Question 16

Can bring about change

N=628 100%
Barack Obama 371 59.1%
John McCain 167 26.6%
Same 25 3.9%
Don’t know/refused 65 10.4%

Question 17

Shares my values

N=628 100%
Barack Obama 310 49.4%
John McCain 235 37.4%
Same 21 3.3%
Don’t know/refused 62 9.9%

Question 18

Experienced

N=628 100%
Barack Obama 134 21.4%
John McCain 422 67.3%
Same 18 2.9%
Don’t know/refused 53 8.4%

Question 20

When it comes to the war in Iraq, which of the following statements comes closer to your point of view?

N=628 100%
The most responsible thing we can do is to set a firm deadline for the withdrawal of U.S. troops within the next 16 months. 361 57.5%
The most responsible thing we can do is to remain in Iraq until the situation in the country is stable. 216 34.4%
Unsure 30 4.7%
Don’t know/refused 21 3.3%

Question 21

What is your personal feeling about abortion? (1) It should be permitted in all cases. (2) It should be permitted, but subject to greater restrictions than it is now. (3) It should be permitted only in cases such as rape, incest and to save the woman's life. OR, (4) It should only be permitted to save the woman's life?

N=628 100%
Permitted in all cases 196 31.3%
Permitted, but with greater restrictions 101 16.1%
Permitted only in cases such as rape, incest, to save the woman's life 161 25.7%
Only permitted to save the woman's life 76 12.1%
Never 37 5.8%
Don’t know/refused 57 9.0%

Illinois-specific questions

Questions 23a-c: Each respondent was randomly assigned one of the three questions with equal probability.

Question 23a

Next we have a question about a proposal aimed at combating the threat of terrorism. The proposal is to relieve law enforcement officials of the burden of obtaining search warrants for searches of the homes of suspected terrorists. Do you…

N=193 100%
Strongly approve of this proposal 46 23.8%
Somewhat approve 43 22.2%
Somewhat disapprove 40 20.5%
Strongly disapprove 55 28.6%
Neither approve nor disapprove 2 1.2%
Don’t know/refused 7 3.7%

Question 23b

Next we have a question about a proposal aimed at combating the threat of serious crime. The proposal is to relieve law enforcement officials of the burden of obtaining search warrants for searches of the homes of persons suspected of serious crimes. Do you…

N=214 100%
Strongly approve of this proposal 44 20.8%
Somewhat approve 50 23.4%
Somewhat disapprove 25 11.7%
Strongly disapprove 80 37.2%
Neither approve nor disapprove 4 1.9%
Don’t know/refused 11 5.0%

Question 23c

Next we have a question about a proposal aimed at law enforcement. The proposal is to relieve law enforcement officials of the burden of obtaining search warrants for searches of people’s homes. Do you…

N=221 100%
Strongly approve of this proposal 13 6.1%
Somewhat approve 29 13.1%
Somewhat disapprove 31 14.2%
Strongly disapprove 126 57.2%
Neither approve nor disapprove 8 3.6%
Don’t know/refused 13 5.9%

Questions 26-27: Next, I’m going to read you a number of statements, and for each one, I’d like you to tell me whether you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with that statement.

Question 26

What happens to people from my racial or ethnic group in this country has something to do with what happens in my life.

N=628 100%
Strongly agree 136 21.7%
Somewhat agree 207 32.9%
Somewhat disagree 109 17.4%
Strongly disagree 110 17.5%
Don’t know/refused 66 10.5%

Question 27

For the advancement of women in politics, partisanship should be secondary to the consideration of voting for a woman.

N=628 100%
Strongly agree 147 23.4%
Somewhat agree 159 25.4%
Somewhat disagree 122 19.5%
Strongly disagree 120 19.1%
Don’t know/refused 79 12.6%

Question 28

Now I want to ask you some questions about immigrants—people who come from other countries to live here in the United States. Do you think the number of new immigrants allowed into the United States each year should be increased, decreased, or kept about the same?

N=628 100%
Increased 92 14.7%
Decreased 212 33.8%
Kept about the same 279 44.5%
Don’t know/refused 44 7.1%

Question 29

To what extent do you agree or disagree with the statement that, “Irish, Italian, Jewish and many other minorities overcame prejudice and worked their way up. Hispanics should do the same without any special favors.” Would you say you…

N=628 100%
Strongly agree 241 38.4%
Agree 97 15.4%
Somewhat agree 99 15.7%
Neither agree nor disagree 71 11.3%
Somewhat disagree 41 6.5%
Disagree 25 3.9%
Strongly disagree 29 4.6%
Don’t know/refused 25 4.1%

Question 30

Questions 30: Please indicate how many of the following five facts about Barack Obama bother you when you think about choosing the next president. We are not interested in which ones bother you, only how many. (Only one of either 2a or 2b is read.)

1. During the primary campaign, he described small-town Pennsylvanians as "bitter" and said that they "cling" to guns and religion.
2a. If elected, he will be the first black president.
2b. He has 2 children.
3. He has served in the US Senate only since 2005.
4. He used to be a smoker.
5. He was a member of Jeremiah Wright's Trinity United Church of Christ for 20 years, before he resigned in May of 2008.

Number of facts that bothered respondent:

N=628 100%
Zero 183 29.1%
1 110 17.5%
2 116 18.5%
3 105 16.7%
4 25 4.0%
5 22 3.5%
Don’t know/refused 67 10.7%