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Results and data | Sept. 18, 2008

Iowa

Margin of error: +/- 4%

Results for select poll questions:

Question 4

How much of the time do you think you can trust the federal government in Washington to do what is right? Just about always, most of the time, only some of the time, or never?

N=643 100%
Just about always 5 .8%
Most of the Time 130 20.2%
Only Some of the Time 401 62.4%
Never 93 14.4%
Don’t know/refused 14 2.2%

Question 5

Thinking about things in the United States, do you think things in the country are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

N=643 100%
Right direction 107 16.6%
Wrong track 493 76.6%
Don’t know/refused 44 6.9%

Question 6

Thinking about things in Iowa, do you think things in Iowa are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

N=643 100%
Right direction 367 57.1%
Wrong track 214 33.3%
Don’t know/refused 62 9.6%

Question 7

Would you say that over the past year the nation’s economy has gotten better, stayed about the same or gotten worse?

N=643 100%
Gotten better 22 3.4%
Stayed about the same 93 14.5%
Gotten worse 521 81.0%
Don’t know/refused 7 1.1%

The questions about favorability for Obama, McCain, Biden, Palin, and Bush were rotated — that is, they were asked in a random order to each individual respondent.

Question 9

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

N=643 100%
Very favorable 209 32.5%
Somewhat favorable 165 25.6%
Very unfavorable 125 19.4%
Somewhat unfavorable 116 18.1%
Don’t know/refused 29 4.4%

Question 10

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of George W. Bush?

N=643 100%
Very favorable 54 8.3%
Somewhat favorable 172 26.7%
Very unfavorable 298 46.3%
Somewhat unfavorable 105 16.4%
Don’t know/refused 14 2.3%

Question 11

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain?

N=643 100%
Very favorable 125 19.5%
Somewhat favorable 235 36.6%
Very unfavorable 147 22.9%
Somewhat unfavorable 117 18.1%
Don’t know/refused 19 2.9%

Question 12

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?

N=643 100%
Very favorable 140 21.8%
Somewhat favorable 184 28.6%
Very unfavorable 107 16.6%
Somewhat unfavorable 110 17.1%
Don’t know/refused 102 15.8%

Question 13

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

N=643 100%
Very favorable 189 29.3%
Somewhat favorable 154 24.0%
Very unfavorable 122 19.0%
Somewhat unfavorable 79 12.3%
Don’t know/refused 99 15.4%

Question 14

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton?

N=643 100%
Very favorable 133 20.7%
Somewhat favorable 198 30.8%
Very unfavorable 148 23.0%
Somewhat unfavorable 141 21.9%
Don’t know/refused 23 3.6%

Question 15

If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, and John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans, for whom would you vote?

N=643 100%
Obama/Biden 275 42.7%
McCain/Palin 270 42.0%
Other 13 2.1%
Undecided 68 10.6%
Refused 17 2.6%

Question 15a

If undecided, which way do you lean?

N=85 100%
Obama/Biden 14 2.1%
McCain/Palin 18 2.7%
Undecided 43 6.7%
Refused 11 1.7%

Cumulative results from question 15 and 15a

Decided voters and undecided voters who are leaning one way or another.

N=643 100%
Obama/Biden 288 44.8%
McCain/Palin 288 44.8%
Other 13 2.1%
Undecided 43 6.7%
Refused 11 1.7%

Questions 16-18: I’m going to read you a list of words and phrases that people sometimes use to describe political leaders. Please tell me who the following words and phrases describe better: Barack Obama or John McCain?

Question 16

Can bring about change

N=643 100%
Barack Obama 335 52.0%
John McCain 207 32.1%
Same 28 4.4%
Don’t know/refused 74 11.5%

Question 17

Shares my values

N=643 100%
Barack Obama 290 45.0%
John McCain 264 41.0%
Same 17 2.7%
Don’t know/refused 73 11.3%

Question 18

Experienced

N=643 100%
Barack Obama 108 16.8%
John McCain 477 74.2%
Same 16 2.6%
Don’t know/refused 41 6.4%

Question 20

When it comes to the war in Iraq, which of the following statements comes closer to your point of view?

N=643 100%
The most responsible thing we can do is to set a firm deadline for the withdrawal of U.S. troops within the next 16 months. 320 49.8%
The most responsible thing we can do is to remain in Iraq until the situation in the country is stable. 280 43.6%
Unsure 28 4.4%
Don’t know/refused 14 2.2%

Question 21

What is your personal feeling about abortion? (1) It should be permitted in all cases. (2) It should be permitted, but subject to greater restrictions than it is now. (3) It should be permitted only in cases such as rape, incest and to save the woman's life. OR, (4) It should only be permitted to save the woman's life?

N=643 100%
Permitted in all cases 163 25.3%
Permitted, but with greater restrictions 107 16.6%
Permitted only in cases such as rape, incest, to save the woman's life 161 25.1%
Only permitted to save the woman's life 118 18.3%
Never 35 5.4%
Don’t know/refused 59 9.2%