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Results and data | Oct. 23, 2008

Iowa

Margin of error: +/-4%

Results for select poll questions:

Question 3

Some people seem to follow what’s going on in politics most of the time, whether there’s an election going on or not. Others aren’t that interested. Would you say you follow what’s going on in politics most of the time, some of the time, only now and then, or hardly at all?

N=586 100%
Most of the time 364 62.1%
Some of the time 181 30.8%
Only now and then 28 4.7%
Hardly at all 10 1.7%
Don’t know/refused 4 .6%

Question 3a

Which of the following issues do you think is the most important problem facing the country today: terrorism and national security, the economy and jobs, health care, the war in Iraq, gas prices and energy policy, taxes, or something else?

N=586 100%
Terrorism and National Security 51 8.7%
Economy and Jobs 359 61.3%
Health Care 36 6.2%
War in Iraq 29 4.9%
Gas Prices and Energy Policy 31 5.4%
Taxes 14 2.4%
Something Else 50 8.5%
Don’t know/refused 16 2.7%

Question 4

How much of the time do you think you can trust the federal government in Washington to do what is right? Just about always, most of the time, only some of the time, or never?

N=586 100%
Just about always 8 1.4%
Most of the Time 121 20.6%
Only Some of the Time 355 60.6%
Never 84 14.3%
Don’t know/refused 18 3.0%

Question 5

Thinking about things in the United States, do you think things in the country are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

N=586 100%
Right direction 71 12.2%
Wrong track 491 83.9%
Don’t know/refused 23 4.0%

Question 6

Thinking about things in Iowa, do you think things in Iowa are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

N=586 100%
Right direction 330 56.3%
Wrong track 211 36.0%
Don’t know/refused 45 7.7%

Question 7

Would you say that over the past year the nation’s economy has gotten better, stayed about the same or gotten worse?

N=586 100%
Gotten better 13 2.2%
Stayed about the same 29 5.0%
Gotten worse 538 91.9%
Don’t know/refused 5 .9%

The questions about favorability for Obama, McCain, Biden, Palin, and Bush were rotated — that is, they were asked in a random order to each individual respondent.

Question 9

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

N=586 100%
Very favorable 242 41.2%
Somewhat favorable 135 23.0%
Somewhat unfavorable 66 11.2%
Very unfavorable 126 21.6%
Don’t know/refused 18 3.0%

Question 10

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of George W. Bush?

N=586 100%
Very favorable 48 8.2%
Somewhat favorable 123 21.0%
Somewhat unfavorable 107 18.3%
Very unfavorable 287 48.9%
Don’t know/refused 21 3.6%

Question 11

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain?

N=586 100%
Very favorable 111 18.9%
Somewhat favorable 177 30.2%
Somewhat unfavorable 128 21.8%
Very unfavorable 150 25.5%
Don’t know/refused 21 3.6%

Question 12

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?

N=586 100%
Very favorable 153 26.1%
Somewhat favorable 179 30.6%
Somewhat unfavorable 93 15.8%
Very unfavorable 88 15.0%
Don’t know/refused 73 12.5%

Question 13

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

N=586 100%
Very favorable 125 21.4%
Somewhat favorable 137 23.3%
Somewhat unfavorable 90 15.3%
Very unfavorable 174 29.8%
Don’t know/refused 60 10.2%

Question 15

If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, and John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans, for whom would you vote?

N=586 100%
Obama/Biden 278 47.5%
McCain/Palin 207 35.3%
Other 11 1.8%
Undecided 55 9.3%
Already voted for Obama/Biden 14 2.4%
Already voted for McCain/Palin 6 1.0%
Refused 16 2.7%

Question 15a

If undecided, which way do you lean?

N=71 100%
Obama/Biden 15 21.1%
McCain/Palin 17 23.4%
Undecided 32 45.8%
Refused 7 9.7%

Cumulative results from question 15 and 15a

Decided voters and undecided voters who are leaning one way or another.

N=586 100%
Obama/Biden X307XX 52.4%
McCain/Palin 229 39.1%
Other 11 1.8%
Undecided 33 5.7%
Refused 6 1.0%

Questions 16-18: I’m going to read you a list of words and phrases that people sometimes use to describe political leaders. Please tell me who the following words and phrases describe better: Barack Obama or John McCain?

Question 16

Can bring about change

N=586 100%
Barack Obama 361 61.5%
John McCain 149 25.4%
Same 29 5.0%
Don’t know/refused 47 8.0%

Question 18

Experienced

N=586 100%
Barack Obama 126 21.6%
John McCain 420 71.7%
Same 9 1.6%
Don’t know/refused 31 5.2%

Question 20

When it comes to the war in Iraq, which of the following statements comes closer to your point of view?

N=586 100%
The most responsible thing we can do is to set a firm deadline for the withdrawal of U.S. troops within the next 16 months. 300 51.3%
The most responsible thing we can do is to remain in Iraq until the situation in the country is stable. 247 42.2%
Unsure 24 4.0%
Don’t know/refused 15 2.5%