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Results and data | Oct. 23, 2008

Michigan

Margin of error: +/-4%

Results for select poll questions:

Question 3

Some people seem to follow what’s going on in politics most of the time, whether there’s an election going on or not. Others aren’t that interested. Would you say you follow what’s going on in politics most of the time, some of the time, only now and then, or hardly at all?

N=562 100%
Most of the time 388 69.0%
Some of the time 135 24.0%
Only now and then 28 4.9%
Hardly at all 11 2.0%
Don’t know/refused 1 .2%

Question 3a

Which of the following issues do you think is the most important problem facing the country today: terrorism and national security, the economy and jobs, health care, the war in Iraq, gas prices and energy policy, taxes, or something else?

N=562 100%
Terrorism and National Security 45 8.1%
Economy and Jobs 394 70.2%
Health Care 32 5.7%
War in Iraq 21 3.7%
Gas Prices and Energy Policy 26 4.7%
Taxes 8 1.4%
Something Else 27 4.8%
Don’t know/refused 8 1.5%

Question 4

How much of the time do you think you can trust the federal government in Washington to do what is right? Just about always, most of the time, only some of the time, or never?

N=562 100%
Just about always 7 1.3%
Most of the Time 99 17.6%
Only Some of the Time 347 61.7%
Never 102 18.2%
Don’t know/refused 7 1.2%

Question 5

Thinking about things in the United States, do you think things in the country are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

N=562 100%
Right direction 54 9.6%
Wrong track 489 87.1%
Don’t know/refused 19 3.3%

Question 6

Thinking about things in Michigan, do you think things in Michigan are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

N=562 100%
Right direction 70 12.5%
Wrong track 470 83.6%
Don’t know/refused 22 3.9%

Question 7

Would you say that over the past year the nation’s economy has gotten better, stayed about the same or gotten worse?

N=562 100%
Gotten better 3 .6%
Stayed about the same 40 7.2%
Gotten worse 517 92.0%
Don’t know/refused 1 .2%

The questions about favorability for Obama, McCain, Biden, Palin, and Bush were rotated — that is, they were asked in a random order to each individual respondent.

Question 9

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

N=562 100%
Very favorable 248 44.1%
Somewhat favorable 131 23.3%
Somewhat unfavorable 61 10.9%
Very unfavorable 109 19.3%
Don’t know/refused 13 2.4%

Question 10

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of George W. Bush?

N=562 100%
Very favorable 36 6.4%
Somewhat favorable 133 23.7%
Somewhat unfavorable 99 17.6%
Very unfavorable 279 49.6%
Don’t know/refused 15 2.7%

Question 11

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain?

N=562 100%
Very favorable 95 16.8%
Somewhat favorable 171 30.4%
Somewhat unfavorable 107 19.0%
Very unfavorable 173 30.8%
Don’t know/refused 17 3.0%

Question 12

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?

N=562 100%
Very favorable 152 27.0%
Somewhat favorable 195 34.7%
Somewhat unfavorable 79 14.1%
Very unfavorable 71 12.6%
Don’t know/refused 65 11.6%

Question 13

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

N=562 100%
Very favorable 113 20.2%
Somewhat favorable 138 24.5%
Somewhat unfavorable 82 14.6%
Very unfavorable 185 33.0%
Don’t know/refused 44 7.8%

Question 15

If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, and John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans, for whom would you vote?

N=562 100%
Obama/Biden 307 54.6%
McCain/Palin 182 32.3%
Other 5 .9%
Undecided 42 7.5%
Already voted for Obama/Biden 3 .6%
Already voted for McCain/Palin 2 .3%
Refused 21 3.8%

Question 15a

If undecided, which way do you lean?

N=64 100%
Obama/Biden 17 26.1%
McCain/Palin 18 28.0%
Undecided 18 28.9%
Refused 11 17.0%

Cumulative results from question 15 and 15a

Decided voters and undecided voters who are leaning one way or another.

N=562 100%
Obama/Biden 327 58.1%
McCain/Palin 201 35.8%
Other 5 .9%
Undecided 18 3.3%
Refused 11 1.9%

Questions 16-18: I’m going to read you a list of words and phrases that people sometimes use to describe political leaders. Please tell me who the following words and phrases describe better: Barack Obama or John McCain?

Question 16

Can bring about change

N=562 100%
Barack Obama 379 67.4%
John McCain 132 23.4%
Same 15 2.6%
Don’t know/refused 37 6.5%

Question 18

Experienced

N=562 100%
Barack Obama 127 22.7%
John McCain 388 69.0%
Same 14 2.5%
Don’t know/refused 33 5.8%

Question 20

When it comes to the war in Iraq, which of the following statements comes closer to your point of view?

N=562 100%
The most responsible thing we can do is to set a firm deadline for the withdrawal of U.S. troops within the next 16 months. 317 56.4%
The most responsible thing we can do is to remain in Iraq until the situation in the country is stable. 222 39.4%
Unsure 13 2.3%
Don’t know/refused 11 1.9%