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Results and data | Oct. 23, 2008

National

Margin of error: +/-4%

Results for select poll questions:

Question 3

Some people seem to follow what’s going on in politics most of the time, whether there’s an election going on or not. Others aren’t that interested. Would you say you follow what’s going on in politics most of the time, some of the time, only now and then, or hardly at all?

N=1014 100%
Most of the time 713 70.3%
Some of the time 219 21.6%
Only now and then 65 6.4%
Hardly at all 16 1.6%
Don’t know/refused 1 .1%

Question 3a

Which of the following issues do you think is the most important problem facing the country today: terrorism and national security, the economy and jobs, health care, the war in Iraq, gas prices and energy policy, taxes, or something else?

N=1014 100%
Terrorism and National Security 114 11.2%
Economy and Jobs 635 62.6%
Health Care 66 6.5%
War in Iraq 50 4.9%
Gas Prices and Energy Policy 50 5.0%
Taxes 17 1.6%
Something Else 57 5.6%
Don’t know/refused 25 2.5%

Question 4

How much of the time do you think you can trust the federal government in Washington to do what is right? Just about always, most of the time, only some of the time, or never?

N=1014 100%
Just about always 28 2.7%
Most of the Time 180 17.7%
Only Some of the Time 638 63.0%
Never 149 14.7%
Don’t know/refused 19 1.9%

Question 5

Thinking about things in the United States, do you think things in the country are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

N=1014 100%
Right direction 129 12.7%
Wrong track 844 83.2%
Don’t know/refused 41 4.0%

Question 6

Thinking about things in your state, do you think things in your state are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

N=1014 100%
Right direction 392 38.7%
Wrong track 562 55.4%
Don’t know/refused 60 5.9%

Question 7

Would you say that over the past year the nation’s economy has gotten better, stayed about the same or gotten worse?

N=1014 100%
Gotten better 11 1.1%
Stayed about the same 65 6.4%
Gotten worse 932 91.9%
Don’t know/refused 6 .6%

The questions about favorability for Obama, McCain, Biden, Palin, and Bush were rotated — that is, they were asked in a random order to each individual respondent.

Question 9

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

N=1014 100%
Very favorable 408 40.2%
Somewhat favorable 210 20.7%
Somewhat unfavorable 129 12.7%
Very unfavorable 237 23.3%
Don’t know/refused 30 3.0%

Question 10

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of George W. Bush?

N=1014 100%
Very favorable 99 9.7%
Somewhat favorable 222 21.9%
Somewhat unfavorable 177 17.5%
Very unfavorable 497 49.0%
Don’t know/refused 19 1.9%

Question 11

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain?

N=1014 100%
Very favorable 229 22.6%
Somewhat favorable 303 29.9%
Somewhat unfavorable 199 19.6%
Very unfavorable 251 24.7%
Don’t know/refused 32 3.2%

Question 12

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?

N=1014 100%
Very favorable 266 26.2%
Somewhat favorable 301 29.7%
Somewhat unfavorable 155 15.3%
Very unfavorable 156 15.4%
Don’t know/refused 136 13.4%

Question 13

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

N=1014 100%
Very favorable 236 23.2%
Somewhat favorable 210 20.7%
Somewhat unfavorable 168 16.6%
Very unfavorable 318 31.4%
Don’t know/refused 82 8.1%

Question 15

If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, and John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans, for whom would you vote?

N=1014 100%
Obama/Biden 478 47.1%
McCain/Palin 397 39.1%
Other 7 .7%
Undecided 77 7.6%
Already voted for Obama/Biden 13 1.3%
Already voted for McCain/Palin 8 .8%
Refused 34 3.4%

Question 15a

If undecided, which way do you lean?

N=112 100%
Obama/Biden 32 3.1%
McCain/Palin 27 2.6%
Undecided 35 3.4%
Refused 18 1.8%

Cumulative results from question 15 and 15a

Decided voters and undecided voters who are leaning one way or another.

N=1014 100%
Obama/Biden 478 51.6%
McCain/Palin 397 42.6%
Undecided 35 3.5%
Refused 18 1.8%

Questions 16-18: I’m going to read you a list of words and phrases that people sometimes use to describe political leaders. Please tell me who the following words and phrases describe better: Barack Obama or John McCain?

Question 16

Can bring about change

N=1014 100%
Barack Obama 612 60.3%
John McCain 287 28.3%
Same 49 4.8%
Don’t know/refused 67 6.6%

Question 18

Experienced

N=1014 100%
Barack Obama 202 20.0%
John McCain 731 72.1%
Same 29 2.8%
Don’t know/refused 52 5.2%

Question 20

When it comes to the war in Iraq, which of the following statements comes closer to your point of view?

N=1014 100%
The most responsible thing we can do is to set a firm deadline for the withdrawal of U.S. troops within the next 16 months. 522 51.5%
The most responsible thing we can do is to remain in Iraq until the situation in the country is stable. 424 41.9%
Unsure 46 4.5%
Don’t know/refused 21 2.1%