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Results and data | Oct. 23, 2008

Pennsylvania

Margin of error: +/-4%

Results for select poll questions:

Question 3

Some people seem to follow what’s going on in politics most of the time, whether there’s an election going on or not. Others aren’t that interested. Would you say you follow what’s going on in politics most of the time, some of the time, only now and then, or hardly at all?

N=566 100%
Most of the time 379 66.9%
Some of the time 126 22.3%
Only now and then 35 6.2%
Hardly at all 24 4.2%
Don’t know/refused 2 .3%

Question 3a

Which of the following issues do you think is the most important problem facing the country today: terrorism and national security, the economy and jobs, health care, the war in Iraq, gas prices and energy policy, taxes, or something else?

N=566 100%
Terrorism and National Security 51 9.0%
Economy and Jobs 347 61.2%
Health Care 45 8.0%
War in Iraq 33 5.8%
Gas Prices and Energy Policy 25 4.3%
Taxes 5 .9%
Something Else 32 5.6%
Don’t know/refused 29 5.1%

Question 4

How much of the time do you think you can trust the federal government in Washington to do what is right? Just about always, most of the time, only some of the time, or never?

N=566 100%
Just about always 13 2.3%
Most of the Time 98 17.2%
Only Some of the Time 348 61.5%
Never 104 18.4%
Don’t know/refused 4 .6%

Question 5

Thinking about things in the United States, do you think things in the country are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

N=566 100%
Right direction 66 11.6%
Wrong track 478 84.4%
Don’t know/refused 23 4.0%

Question 6

Thinking about things in Pennsylvania, do you think things in Pennsylvania are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

N=566 100%
Right direction 215 38.1%
Wrong track 304 53.7%
Don’t know/refused 46 8.2%

Question 7

Would you say that over the past year the nation’s economy has gotten better, stayed about the same or gotten worse?

N=566 100%
Gotten better 5 .9%
Stayed about the same 33 5.7%
Gotten worse 526 92.9%
Don’t know/refused 3 .5%

The questions about favorability for Obama, McCain, Biden, Palin, and Bush were rotated — that is, they were asked in a random order to each individual respondent.

Question 9

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

N=566 100%
Very favorable 224 39.6%
Somewhat favorable 131 23.2%
Somewhat unfavorable 75 13.3%
Very unfavorable 116 20.5%
Don’t know/refused 20 3.5%

Question 10

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of George W. Bush?

N=566 100%
Very favorable 40 7.0%
Somewhat favorable 127 22.5%
Somewhat unfavorable 93 16.5%
Very unfavorable 292 51.6%
Don’t know/refused 14 2.4%

Question 11

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John McCain?

N=566 100%
Very favorable 113 19.9%
Somewhat favorable 179 31.6%
Somewhat unfavorable 98 17.3%
Very unfavorable 158 28.0%
Don’t know/refused 18 3.2%

Question 12

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?

N=566 100%
Very favorable 151 26.6%
Somewhat favorable 177 31.2%
Somewhat unfavorable 85 15.0%
Very unfavorable 73 12.8%
Don’t know/refused 81 14.3%

Question 13

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

N=566 100%
Very favorable 114 20.2%
Somewhat favorable 140 24.8%
Somewhat unfavorable 86 15.2%
Very unfavorable 171 30.2%
Don’t know/refused 55 9.7%

Question 15

If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats, and John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Republicans, for whom would you vote?

N=566 100%
Obama/Biden 283 49.9%
McCain/Palin 218 38.5%
Other 7 1.2%
Undecided 43 7.7%
Already voted for Obama/Biden 0 0%
Already voted for McCain/Palin 0 0%
Refused 15 2.6%

Question 15a

If undecided, which way do you lean?

N=58 100%
Obama/Biden 11 18.7%
McCain/Palin 17 28.5%
Undecided 23 40.4%
Refused 7 12.5%

Cumulative results from question 15 and 15a

Decided voters and undecided voters who are leaning one way or another.

N=566 100%
Obama/Biden 294 51.9%
McCain/Palin 235 41.5%
Other 7 1.2%
Undecided 19 3.4%
Refused 12 2.0%

Questions 16-18: I’m going to read you a list of words and phrases that people sometimes use to describe political leaders. Please tell me who the following words and phrases describe better: Barack Obama or John McCain?

Question 16

Can bring about change

N=566 100%
Barack Obama 333 58.9%
John McCain 165 29.1%
Same 38 6.7%
Don’t know/refused 30 5.3%

Question 18

Experienced

N=566 100%
Barack Obama 100 17.7%
John McCain 408 72.1%
Same 25 4.5%
Don’t know/refused 32 5.7%

Question 20

When it comes to the war in Iraq, which of the following statements comes closer to your point of view?

N=566 100%
The most responsible thing we can do is to set a firm deadline for the withdrawal of U.S. troops within the next 16 months. 297 52.4%
The most responsible thing we can do is to remain in Iraq until the situation in the country is stable. 248 43.8%
Unsure 14 2.4%
Don’t know/refused 8 1.4%